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Cables and SatellitesAnalysis

Corridor Capacity Tracker, October 2026: the Caspian and Black Sea routes

Five subsea systems, announced against lit or initial capacity, with a source in every cell; only two of the five have a published lit or initial figure.

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Satellite view of the dark waters of the Caspian Sea, bordered by brown desert and green coastal land
The Caspian Sea seen by NASA's MODIS satellite instrument, April 2016 Photo: Jeff Schmaltz, MODIS Land Rapid Response Team, NASA GSFC, public domain, via Wikimedia Commons, cropped

The Corridor Capacity Tracker sets the capacity announced for each subsea system on the Trans-Caspian and Black Sea routes against the capacity reported as lit or initially available, with a source for every figure. Where no document gives a figure, the cell reads "not published". This first edition reflects documents available on 17 October 2026.

System and routePartiesAnnounced capacityLit or initial capacityStatus at 17 October 2026
Trans-Caspian fibre-optic line: Aktau to Sumgayit, about 380 kmKazakhtelecom and AzerTelecom, 50:50 joint ventureMore than 400 Tbit/sUp to 6 Tbit/s added, according to Kazakhstan's digital ministerInaugurated 15 October 2026; 390 km of cable laid shore to shore by 6 October
Turkmenistan to Azerbaijan line: Turkmenbashi to Siyazan, 300 kmTürkmentelekom and AzerTelecomAt least 2 to 4 Tbit/snot publishedInterstate agreement reported in April 2020; later status not published
Caucasus Cable System: Poti to Balchik, 1,200 kmCaucasus OnlineMore than 9 Tbit/s total capacity after the 2016 upgrade780 Gbit/s lit after the May 2016 upgrade, the latest published figureIn service since 2008
Kardesa: landings planned in Bulgaria, Türkiye, Georgia and UkraineVodafone Group and Vodafone Ukraine, with Xtera contracted to deliverOver 500 Tbit/sNot in service; first landing, in Bulgaria, planned for 2027First section, in Bulgaria, to be built from 2027; cost over €100 million
Black Sea Submarine Cable: Anaklia to the Constanța area, about 1,155 km, a power link with a planned fibre linkGeorgian State Electrosystem and TranselectricaFibre capacity not published; fibre link estimated at USD 70 to 90 millionNot in servicePreparing a marine survey since late July 2026; no final investment decision

Read across, two of the five systems are in service, the Trans-Caspian line and the Poti to Balchik system; two are planned, Kardesa and the Georgia to Romania link; and the Turkmenistan to Azerbaijan line has no published status since the 2020 agreement. Only the two systems in service have a published lit or initial figure, and the older of those figures is more than ten years old.

What changed this month

The Trans-Caspian line moved from construction to launch. The Kazakh government said on 6 October that 390 km of cable had been laid between the shores at Sumgayit and Aktau (government summary), and the two presidents inaugurated the line on 15 October (presidency). Kazakhstan's digital minister has said the line will add capacity of up to 6 Tbit/s, against the stated capacity of more than 400 Tbit/s (interview). The operators have not published a lit capacity, and the ministry had scheduled testing and commissioning for completion by the end of 2026, The Times of Central Asia reported in July.

On the Black Sea, the latest published lit figure for the Poti to Balchik system dates from May 2016. Kardesa, announced in October 2025, plans its first landing in Bulgaria in 2027, with Türkiye, Georgia and Ukraine to follow (Vodafone). The Georgia to Romania power cable moved into preparation for a marine survey at the end of July and has no final investment decision, according to oEnergetice, which cites a feasibility study that puts the cost of the planned fibre link at USD 70 to 90 million.

Method

Announced capacity is the design or maximum capacity stated by an owner, a government or a supplier. Lit or initial capacity is capacity stated as activated, equipped or initially available. Figures are reproduced as published, without conversion or estimation. Primary documents are used where available; where a cell rests on a news report, the report is linked and named in the sources. Not yet tracked: older Black Sea systems and terrestrial routes through Türkiye, until current figures are found, and the Kuryk to Buzovna reserve route described in 2023 (Capacity), for which no status has been published. The tracker is updated monthly.

Document trail

12 sources, 6 primary

  1. Ilham Aliyev met with President of the Republic of Kazakhstan Kassym-Jomart Tokayev

    Presidency of the Republic of AzerbaijanPrimary source

  2. Up to 150 services via eGov GPT planned to launch in Kazakhstan by year end

    Prime Minister of the Republic of KazakhstanPrimary source

  3. Ministry of Digital Transformation: Vodafone to lay underwater cable across the Black Sea to bypass Russia

    Government of Ukraine (Ministry of Digital Transformation)Primary source

  4. Kazakhstan's AI Strategy: Eurasia's Emerging Digital Power

    The Times of Central AsiaSecondary source

  5. Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan Begin Laying Trans-Caspian Fiber-Optic Cable

    The Times of Central AsiaSecondary source

  6. TE SubCom to perform third capacity upgrade to Caucasus Cable System

    Ocean News and TechnologySecondary source

Named in this piece

  • Kazakhtelecom
  • Türkmentelekom
  • Vodafone Group
  • Xtera
  • Georgian State Electrosystem
  • Transelectrica
  • Kazakhstan
  • Azerbaijan
  • Turkmenistan
  • Georgia
  • Bulgaria
  • Romania
  • Türkiye
  • Ukraine